Tool 02
Gacha Pity Calculator
The featured skin is almost always in the exchange, not in your first ten draws. Slide your pile and watch the pity math move.
Event setup
Defaults match typical SEA event lengths.
Featured skin sits behind ~1,200 crests. Direct pulls almost never land it.
2,000
Drag the slider — every output on this page updates live.
21 days of event login draws
Honest math
Guarantee path · 115 typical draws · 1200 crests
Diamonds to guarantee
9,250
Draws your diamonds cover
41of ~115
Expected USD (base)
$881
Expected USD (bulk)
$1,156
You probably won't get the skin. Save up or skip this event. You are at 22% of the typical pity pile.
Gacha draw events give the featured skin directly in <1% of cases — the realistic path is collecting exchange tokens, which costs the full pity amount.
Typical real cost by event
USD at the base-pack rate ($1 ≈ 10.5 diamonds), using each event’s usual draw count with no free dailies.